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Is Daniel Jones for Joe Burrow fair?

Daniel Jones and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Daniel Jones for Joe Burrow, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 14 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 13 of those 14 times it was the Daniel Jones side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

36
Deals they were both in
3
Straight up, one for one
13 / 1
One side sweetened: Daniel Jones / Joe Burrow

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Daniel Jones prices at 324 and Joe Burrow at 3,751, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 11.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Daniel JonesWent with Joe Burrow
2025-12-17+6%AJ Barner, Malik Nabers, Anthony Richardson, 1 1stTee Higgins, Rico Dowdle, Jake Ferguson
2025-10-29-49%1 1st
2025-10-26-66%Zach Ertz, Courtland Sutton, Jordan Mason, 1 3rdNajee Harris, Dameon Pierce, Malik Willis
2025-10-26-114%
2025-10-10-62%Michael Penix, Mike Evans, Stefon DiggsJalen McMillan, Savion Williams, Tank Dell, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-10-09-23%James Cook, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-10-07-56%Josh Jacobs, Michael PittmanMichael Mayer, 1 2nd
2025-09-30-89%Xavier Worthy
2025-09-27-167%
2025-09-25-94%Derrick Henry, 1 2ndDavid Montgomery

Read each row as: Daniel Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Daniel Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs -46.0% from the side that received Daniel Jones, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Daniel Jones for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Daniel Jones trade · Every Joe Burrow trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms