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Is Daniel Jones for Kyler Murray fair?

Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 32 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 1 between the Daniel Jones side and the Kyler Murray side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

32
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 1
One side sweetened: Daniel Jones / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Daniel Jones prices at 324 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates Kyler Murray about 1.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Daniel JonesWent with Kyler Murray
2026-06-09+2%CeeDee Lamb, 1 1stRome Odunze, Ladd McConkey, Michael Pittman
2026-05-19+63%Justice Hill, Ladd McConkey, Isiah Pacheco, 9 moreJake Tonges, Jaylen Waddle, TreVeyon Henderson, 9 more
2026-05-07-78%Rico Dowdle, 1 2nd, 1 later pickDerrick Henry
2026-04-15-86%Joe Milton, Chuba HubbardGardner Minshew, Brenton Strange
2025-11-05-63%1 2nd
2025-10-02-30%Jalen Coker, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 1 1stAmon-Ra St. Brown, 1 2nd
2024-08-08-71%Hunter Henry, Drew Lock, 1 1st2 3rds
2023-11-21-187%1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdJosh Jacobs
2023-08-29-89%Israel AbanikandaBaker Mayfield, Nick Chubb
2023-08-26-16%Calvin RidleyRomeo Doubs

Read each row as: Daniel Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Daniel Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 32, the whole-deal value gap runs -25.9% from the side that received Daniel Jones, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Daniel Jones for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 32 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Daniel Jones trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms