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Is Dawson Knox for T.J. Hockenson fair?

Dawson Knox and T.J. Hockenson have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 7 times it was the Dawson Knox side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating T.J. Hockenson as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
7 / 0
One side sweetened: Dawson Knox / T.J. Hockenson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dawson Knox prices at 4 and T.J. Hockenson at 185, so the market currently rates T.J. Hockenson about 46.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

Grade Dawson Knox for T.J. Hockenson now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dawson KnoxWent with T.J. Hockenson
2024-07-20+29%Dalton KincaidTaysom Hill, 1 2nd
2023-12-27-76%Jayden Reed, James Conner1 3rd
2023-06-10-61%Calvin Ridley, Justin FieldsDaniel Jones, Ja'Marr Chase, 1 1st
2023-06-07+13%Tyler Boyd, Joe Burrow, Chris OlaveDaniel Jones, Tua Tagovailoa, Wan'Dale Robinson, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2023-05-22-13%AJ Dillon, Romeo Doubs, 1 1stMiles Sanders
2023-02-23-6%Joe Mixon, Cooper Kupp, Justin Herbert, 1 2ndKirk Cousins, Brandon Aiyuk, Ja'Marr Chase, 1 2nd
2023-02-07-10%1 1st
2023-01-13+22%1 1st, 1 3rd
2022-11-22-42%Najee Harris, Alec Pierce, Jaylen WarrenDalvin Cook, Quez Watkins
2022-11-16+44%George Kittle

Read each row as: Dawson Knox, plus anything in the third column, was traded for T.J. Hockenson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dawson Knox; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -5.8% from the side that received Dawson Knox, so the side ending up with T.J. Hockenson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dawson Knox for T.J. Hockenson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dawson Knox trade · Every T.J. Hockenson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms