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Is Derek Carr for Jared Goff fair?

Derek Carr and Jared Goff have been on opposite sides of 27 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Derek Carr for Jared Goff, nothing else changing hands.

In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 4 to 4 between the Derek Carr side and the Jared Goff side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

27
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
4 / 4
One side sweetened: Derek Carr / Jared Goff
Grade Derek Carr for Jared Goff now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Derek CarrWent with Jared Goff
2024-09-02-74%Russell Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins, Austin Ekeler, 1 2ndChris Godwin
2024-07-18-2%1 1st, 1 3rd
2024-07-12-101%Tyler Boyd, Tony PollardRashee Rice
2024-06-07+38%David Montgomery, Jaylen WaddleChristian Watson
2024-05-02-10%Geno Smith, Ja'Marr Chase, 1 2ndA.J. Brown, 1 1st
2024-01-28+1%Chris OlaveJosh Jacobs, 1 2nd
2023-10-12-50%Alexander Mattison, Nico Collins, Pat FreiermuthGerald Everett, Travis Etienne
2023-10-11-34%Jimmy Garoppolo, Justice Hill
2023-06-29+8%Mac Jones
2023-05-05+33%Cooper KuppTerry McLaurin

Read each row as: Derek Carr, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jared Goff plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Derek Carr; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 27, the whole-deal value gap runs -9.5% from the side that received Derek Carr, so the side ending up with Jared Goff has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Derek Carr for Jared Goff fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 27 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Derek Carr trade · Every Jared Goff trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms