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Is Derek Carr for Russell Wilson fair?

Derek Carr and Russell Wilson have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Derek Carr for Russell Wilson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 5 times it was the Derek Carr side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Russell Wilson as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
4 / 1
One side sweetened: Derek Carr / Russell Wilson
Grade Derek Carr for Russell Wilson now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Derek CarrWent with Russell Wilson
2024-10-31+116%1 3rd
2024-09-11-36%1 3rd1 2nd
2024-06-01+17%
2023-12-29-55%Derrick HenryJerome Ford, Dontayvion Wicks, Zach Charbonnet
2023-12-28-83%1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-11-13+5%Courtland SuttonZay Jones, 1 3rd
2023-07-03-37%Allen Lazard, Damien HarrisCourtland Sutton, Tyler Allgeier
2023-01-15-5%Cooper Kupp, 1 1stA.J. Brown, Zack Moss
2022-10-12-50%Odell Beckham, John MetchieKadarius Toney, Daniel Bellinger, 2 3rds
2022-09-13-62%

Read each row as: Derek Carr, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Russell Wilson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Derek Carr; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -20.6% from the side that received Derek Carr, so the side ending up with Russell Wilson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Derek Carr for Russell Wilson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Derek Carr trade · Every Russell Wilson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms