Russell Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 5 to 5 between the Russell Wilson side and the Tua Tagovailoa side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
| Date | Margin | Went with Russell Wilson | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-11 | +29% | Saquon Barkley | DeMario Douglas, 1 1st |
| 2025-06-20 | +6% | Dalton Kincaid | — |
| 2024-11-24 | +49% | David Njoku, Christian Watson | Tre Tucker, Christian Kirk, 2 2nds, 1 3rd, 2 later picks |
| 2024-05-26 | +33% | Zamir White, De'Von Achane | 1 3rd, 1 later pick |
| 2023-12-01 | +65% | Justin Fields, 1 1st | — |
| 2023-11-18 | -40% | Bryce Young, Josh Downs | Jameson Williams |
| 2023-11-15 | -75% | Rashid Shaheed, Tyjae Spears, Zach Charbonnet | — |
| 2023-07-26 | -48% | Calvin Ridley, Mac Jones, 1 2nd | Chris Godwin, 1 3rd |
| 2023-07-22 | -18% | Calvin Ridley, 1 2nd | — |
| 2023-05-03 | -37% | Pierre Strong, 1 1st | 1 1st |
Read each row as: Russell Wilson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Russell Wilson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs +21.1% from the side that received Russell Wilson, so the side ending up with Russell Wilson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Russell Wilson for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Russell Wilson trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
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