Matthew Stafford and Russell Wilson have been on opposite sides of 37 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 5 of them were straight up: Matthew Stafford for Russell Wilson, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 12 times it was the Matthew Stafford side (5 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Russell Wilson as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with Matthew Stafford | Went with Russell Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | -19% | Darren Waller | Kyler Murray, Brian Robinson |
| 2025-11-05 | +76% | Kirk Cousins, Saquon Barkley, DeMario Douglas | Michael Wilson, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2025-06-26 | +5% | Drake London | A.J. Brown, 1 2nd |
| 2024-09-15 | -76% | 1 later pick | Trey Benson, Aaron Rodgers |
| 2024-06-10 | -41% | — | Keon Coleman |
| 2024-05-01 | -5% | Nick Chubb, 1 3rd | Gerald Everett, Najee Harris |
| 2024-01-08 | -3% | — | 1 3rd |
| 2023-09-28 | -30% | 1 1st | Diontae Johnson, Miles Sanders |
| 2023-08-28 | -106% | — | — |
| 2023-08-15 | -58% | Brian Robinson | 2 2nds |
Read each row as: Matthew Stafford, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Russell Wilson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Matthew Stafford; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 37, the whole-deal value gap runs -30.3% from the side that received Matthew Stafford, so the side ending up with Russell Wilson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Matthew Stafford for Russell Wilson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 37 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Matthew Stafford trade · Every Russell Wilson trade
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