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Is Deshaun Watson for Joe Burrow fair?

Deshaun Watson and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 32 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Joe Burrow, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 8 times it was the Deshaun Watson side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

32
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
6 / 2
One side sweetened: Deshaun Watson / Joe Burrow

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deshaun Watson prices at 37 and Joe Burrow at 3,751, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 101.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Deshaun Watson for Joe Burrow now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deshaun WatsonWent with Joe Burrow
2025-06-15-4%Joe Milton, Daniel Jones, Michael Wilson, 12 moreJerry Jeudy, Kyle Pitts, Rachaad White, 11 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds
2024-08-26-12%Will Shipley, Noah Fant, Drake London, 1 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rdTyler Lockett, Diontae Johnson
2024-06-06-27%Marvin HarrisonTrey Benson, Xavier Worthy
2024-05-19-42%Amari Cooper, Kyle Pitts1 2nd
2024-05-14-150%Rashid Shaheed, Trey Palmer, 1 later pick
2024-04-09-26%1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-04-02-62%Antonio Gibson, Jahan Dotson, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pickAndrei Iosivas, Mike Evans, Zach Charbonnet, 1 3rd
2023-12-07-16%Travis Kelce, Stefon DiggsZay Flowers
2023-10-26-1%Anthony RichardsonEvan Engram
2023-10-17-27%Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 1 2ndAdam Thielen

Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 32, the whole-deal value gap runs -9.0% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 32 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Joe Burrow trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms