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Is Dontayvion Wicks for Josh Downs fair?

Dontayvion Wicks and Josh Downs have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Dontayvion Wicks for Josh Downs, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 7 times it was the Dontayvion Wicks side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Downs as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
6 / 1
One side sweetened: Dontayvion Wicks / Josh Downs

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dontayvion Wicks prices at 94 and Josh Downs at 978, so the market currently rates Josh Downs about 10.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dontayvion WicksWent with Josh Downs
2026-08-13+2%Makai Lemon, Antonio Williams, Eli Stowers, 1 more, 2 3rdsTrey Benson, Ladd McConkey, Tyjae Spears, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2026-07-06-144%1 2nd, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2026-05-07-19%Geno Smith, Justin Herbert, Jalen McMillan, 12 moreJayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Lamar Jackson, 10 more
2025-08-06+41%DeAndre Hopkins, Travis Kelce, Deebo SamuelKyle Monangai
2025-06-27+39%1 1st1 2nd
2025-06-11-9%Christian Watson, 1 1st, 1 2ndJordan Addison
2025-03-10+19%Tre Tucker, Justin HerbertTrevor Lawrence
2024-12-03-74%DeAndre Hopkins, Noah FantJaleel McLaughlin
2024-11-01+41%Brock PurdyJa'Tavion Sanders, 1 1st
2024-08-24-66%Tyrod Taylor

Read each row as: Dontayvion Wicks, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Downs plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dontayvion Wicks; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -30.5% from the side that received Dontayvion Wicks, so the side ending up with Josh Downs has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dontayvion Wicks for Josh Downs fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dontayvion Wicks trade · Every Josh Downs trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms