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Is Drake Maye for Justin Herbert fair?

Drake Maye and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 8 times it was the Justin Herbert side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Drake Maye as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 5
One side sweetened: Drake Maye / Justin Herbert

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Drake Maye prices at 5,337 and Justin Herbert at 3,304, so the market currently rates Drake Maye about 1.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Drake MayeWent with Justin Herbert
2026-09-09+22%Quentin Johnston
2026-08-29+46%Isiah Pacheco
2026-07-20-51%Zay Flowers
2026-06-29-58%Christian McCaffrey, 1 2nd
2026-05-29-46%C.J. Stroud, 1 2ndMichael Wilson, Joe Burrow, Parker Washington
2026-05-24-27%Tory Horton, Marvin MimsXavier Worthy, J.K. Dobbins
2026-04-21-40%Rashee Rice, Terrance Ferguson, Luther Burden, 2 more, 1 later pickLadd McConkey, Jalen Coker, Dylan Sampson, 2 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-01-23-38%1 1st
2025-10-12-9%Ollie Gordon, 1 1stChristian Kirk, J.K. Dobbins, Romeo Doubs
2025-09-18+12%Ladd McConkey, 1 1stQuinshon Judkins, Cam Ward, 1 2nd, 1 later pick

Read each row as: Drake Maye, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Drake Maye; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -22.1% from the side that received Drake Maye, so the side ending up with Justin Herbert has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Drake Maye for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Drake Maye trade · Every Justin Herbert trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms