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Is Jalen Hurts for Jared Goff fair?

Jalen Hurts and Jared Goff have been on opposite sides of 33 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Jalen Hurts for Jared Goff, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 9 times it was the Jared Goff side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jalen Hurts as the more valuable of the two.

33
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
0 / 9
One side sweetened: Jalen Hurts / Jared Goff

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jalen Hurts prices at 3,725 and Jared Goff at 884, so the market currently rates Jalen Hurts about 4.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jalen HurtsWent with Jared Goff
2026-05-04+21%Jacob Cowing, Sam Darnold, Isaiah Davis, 15 more, 1 3rdKimani Vidal, Brian Robinson, Jalen Tolbert, 16 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-02-11+25%1 1st
2026-01-09+12%Stefon Diggs, Bijan Robinson, 1 1st, 2 3rdsDK Metcalf, Amon-Ra St. Brown, 2 1sts
2025-11-01+28%Jermaine Burton, Arian Smith, T.J. HockensonTravis Kelce, Derrick Henry, David Montgomery, 1 3rd
2025-11-01+48%Davante Adams, 1 2ndJaylen Waddle, 1 3rd
2025-10-02+8%Davante Adams, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, 1 moreChris Olave, 3 1sts
2025-08-20+76%Baker Mayfield, 1 3rd
2025-08-17+58%Quinshon Judkins, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-08-02+15%Darren Waller, Christian McCaffrey, Cole KmetTyler Warren, Breece Hall
2025-05-21+12%DK Metcalf, Terry McLaurinChris Olave, 2 1sts

Read each row as: Jalen Hurts, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jared Goff plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jalen Hurts; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 33, the whole-deal value gap runs +18.3% from the side that received Jalen Hurts, so the side ending up with Jalen Hurts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jalen Hurts for Jared Goff fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 33 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jalen Hurts trade · Every Jared Goff trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms