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Is Jalen Hurts for Justin Jefferson fair?

Jalen Hurts and Justin Jefferson have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Jalen Hurts for Justin Jefferson, nothing else changing hands.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 2 between the Jalen Hurts side and the Justin Jefferson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
1 / 2
One side sweetened: Jalen Hurts / Justin Jefferson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jalen Hurts prices at 3,725 and Justin Jefferson at 9,205, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jalen HurtsWent with Justin Jefferson
2026-05-07-19%CeeDee Lamb, Bucky Irving, Tua Tagovailoa, 19 moreJayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Lamar Jackson, 10 more
2026-04-27+12%Quentin Johnston
2026-04-27+13%Cam Skattebo, 1 2nd, 2 3rds1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2026-04-03+3%
2025-08-12-5%Terrance Ferguson, Alvin Kamara, Tee Higgins, 1 2ndKyler Murray, Tyjae Spears
2025-05-08-24%Cedric Tillman, Kimani VidalMiles Sanders, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-04-23+1%DeVonta Smith1 1st, 2 2nds
2024-12-27+17%Bucky Irving, Alvin Kamara, DeVonta SmithJonathan Taylor
2024-11-20-26%Roschon Johnson, Gardner Minshew, 1 3rd, 2 later picksJoe Mixon, Drew Lock, Daniel Jones
2024-04-25+1%Tyler Lockett, Dallas GoedertRussell Wilson, Jonnu Smith, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Jalen Hurts, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Jefferson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jalen Hurts; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.7% from the side that received Jalen Hurts - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jalen Hurts for Justin Jefferson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jalen Hurts trade · Every Justin Jefferson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms