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Is Jalen Hurts for Lamar Jackson fair?

Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson have been on opposite sides of 40 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 14 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 14 times it was the Jalen Hurts side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Lamar Jackson as the more valuable of the two.

40
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
11 / 3
One side sweetened: Jalen Hurts / Lamar Jackson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jalen Hurts prices at 3,725 and Lamar Jackson at 4,824, so the market currently rates Lamar Jackson about 1.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jalen HurtsWent with Lamar Jackson
2026-05-21-1%Derrick HenryJoe Mixon
2026-05-07-19%CeeDee Lamb, Bucky Irving, Tua Tagovailoa, 19 moreJayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Nico Collins, 10 more
2026-04-29+33%1 1st
2026-04-13+33%1 1st
2025-12-03-11%Jalen McMillan
2025-08-25-4%Isaac TeSlaa, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdZay Flowers
2025-08-02+20%DK Metcalf
2025-06-11-4%1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-09-13+110%Clayton Tune, Emanuel Wilson, Frank Gore, 6 more, 5 1sts, 4 2nds, 2 3rds, 3 later picks
2024-09-13+110%Clayton Tune, Emanuel Wilson, Frank Gore, 6 more, 5 1sts, 4 2nds, 2 3rds, 3 later picks

Read each row as: Jalen Hurts, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Lamar Jackson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jalen Hurts; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 40, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.8% from the side that received Jalen Hurts, so the side ending up with Jalen Hurts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jalen Hurts for Lamar Jackson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 40 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jalen Hurts trade · Every Lamar Jackson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms