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Is Jalen Hurts for Tua Tagovailoa fair?

Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 35 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Jalen Hurts for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 10 times it was the Tua Tagovailoa side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jalen Hurts as the more valuable of the two.

35
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
1 / 9
One side sweetened: Jalen Hurts / Tua Tagovailoa

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jalen Hurts prices at 3,725 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Jalen Hurts about 30.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jalen HurtsWent with Tua Tagovailoa
2026-06-11+82%1 1st
2026-06-02+11%Efton Chism, Zach Ertz, Mecole Hardman, 10 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 later picksDak Prescott, Brandin Cooks, Jake Browning, 18 more, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2026-05-01+13%Devontez Walker, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-03-03+41%Justin Fields, 1 1st
2026-01-08-2%Braelon Allen, 1 3rdRome Odunze, 1 1st
2025-12-01+40%George Kittle, Jordan LoveWill Howard, Shedeur Sanders, Sam Darnold, 1 more, 1 1st
2025-08-21+20%Mike Evans, Cooper KuppRashee Rice, Khalil Shakir, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-08-10-10%David Montgomery, Kyle Pitts, 1 3rdTetairoa McMillan, Tee Higgins, Bryce Young
2024-10-21+65%Isiah Pacheco, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-06-07+136%Ja'Marr ChaseStefon Diggs

Read each row as: Jalen Hurts, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jalen Hurts; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 35, the whole-deal value gap runs +16.5% from the side that received Jalen Hurts, so the side ending up with Jalen Hurts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jalen Hurts for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 35 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jalen Hurts trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms