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Is J.J. McCarthy for Joe Burrow fair?

J.J. McCarthy and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 8 times it was the J.J. McCarthy side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
7 / 1
One side sweetened: J.J. McCarthy / Joe Burrow

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today J.J. McCarthy prices at 72 and Joe Burrow at 3,822, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 53.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with J.J. McCarthyWent with Joe Burrow
2026-01-04-15%Jaylen Waddle, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-11-20-34%Jonathon Brooks, Chimere Dike, Jay Toia, 2 more
2025-09-04-7%Travis Hunter, 1 2nd
2025-08-23-28%TreVeyon Henderson
2025-08-16-25%Isaac Guerendo, Christian McCaffrey, D'Andre Swift, 1 moreTyrone Tracy, Stefon Diggs, David Montgomery
2025-08-07-4%Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2025-08-01-21%Tee Higgins, 1 1st, 1 2ndStefon Diggs, Calvin Austin, Zay Flowers, 1 3rd
2025-08-01-42%2 1stsCalvin Austin
2025-07-28-102%Travis Etienne
2025-07-03-23%DeVonta Smith, 1 2ndDeebo Samuel, 1 3rd

Read each row as: J.J. McCarthy, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received J.J. McCarthy; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -26.3% from the side that received J.J. McCarthy, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is J.J. McCarthy for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every J.J. McCarthy trade · Every Joe Burrow trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms