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Is Kenny Pickett for Kyler Murray fair?

Kenny Pickett and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 13 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 13 of those 13 times it was the Kenny Pickett side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kyler Murray as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
13 / 0
One side sweetened: Kenny Pickett / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kenny Pickett prices at 3 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates Kyler Murray about 168.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kenny PickettWent with Kyler Murray
2026-05-17-19%Isiah Pacheco, Sam LaPorta, Lamar Jackson, 15 more, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 2 later picksCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2023-11-23+9%Nico Collins, 1 1st
2023-11-07-63%3 2nds, 3 3rds, 1 later pick
2023-10-25+19%Mike Evans, Mitchell Trubisky, 2 1sts
2023-10-05-29%Davante Adams, Derrick Henry, Mitchell Trubisky, 4 moreRobert Woods, Jaylen Waddle, Travis Etienne, 1 more, 2 1sts, 1 2nd
2023-09-27-30%De'Von AchaneRashid Shaheed, 1 2nd
2023-08-30-84%Sam Howell
2023-08-23-22%Tyler Boyd, Miles Sanders, Pat FreiermuthTank Bigsby, 1 3rd
2023-08-10-63%Tyler Huntley, Isiah Pacheco
2023-08-03-27%Jonathan Mingo, Xavier McKinney, 1 2ndRiq Woolen, Tank Dell

Read each row as: Kenny Pickett, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kenny Pickett; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -29.6% from the side that received Kenny Pickett, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kenny Pickett for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kenny Pickett trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms