Anthony Richardson and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 28 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 9 times it was the Anthony Richardson side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Herbert as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Anthony Richardson prices at 339 and Justin Herbert at 3,160, so the market currently rates Justin Herbert about 9.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Anthony Richardson | Went with Justin Herbert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-11 | -50% | Bryce Young, 1 2nd | — |
| 2025-04-17 | -57% | Isaac Guerendo, Brian Robinson | 1 3rd |
| 2025-02-17 | -28% | George Pickens | — |
| 2024-12-05 | -1% | Xavier Worthy | — |
| 2024-11-20 | +5% | Andy Dalton, Bryce Young, 1 1st | Daniel Jones |
| 2024-11-19 | -39% | Deshaun Watson | — |
| 2024-09-26 | +9% | 1 3rd | 1 2nd |
| 2024-09-04 | +32% | Tony Pollard, Christian Watson | Andrei Iosivas, Jaleel McLaughlin, Joshua Palmer, 1 more |
| 2024-08-31 | -29% | — | Trey McBride |
| 2024-08-29 | +2% | 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 2 later picks | Jonathan Taylor, Jameson Williams |
Read each row as: Anthony Richardson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Anthony Richardson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 28, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.2% from the side that received Anthony Richardson, so the side ending up with Justin Herbert has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Anthony Richardson for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 28 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Anthony Richardson trade · Every Justin Herbert trade
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