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Is Cade Otton for Travis Kelce fair?

Cade Otton and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Cade Otton side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Travis Kelce as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: Cade Otton / Travis Kelce

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Cade Otton prices at 58 and Travis Kelce at 284, so the market currently rates Travis Kelce about 4.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Cade OttonWent with Travis Kelce
2026-08-15+44%Cade Klubnik, Saquon Barkley, Terry McLaurinBlake Corum, Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Pittman
2025-12-19+20%Luther Burden, Romeo DoubsDJ Moore, Dalton Schultz
2025-07-23-36%Deebo Samuel, 1 1st, 1 later pickTee Higgins, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-06-03-90%1 3rd
2025-05-20-65%Parker Washington, Jalen Tolbert, Davante Adams, 12 moreBucky Irving, Jauan Jennings, Zach Ertz, 15 more
2024-12-09-22%Jonathon Brooks, 1 3rd, 1 later pickRussell Wilson, Alvin Kamara
2024-11-08+79%Rashee Rice, 2 1sts, 1 2ndDavante Adams, Cooper Kupp, Aaron Jones
2024-06-17-12%Derek Carr, Jeff Wilson, Jaylen Waddle, 4 more, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 later pickEric Gray, Deneric Prince, Brandin Cooks, 8 more
2024-06-17+5%Mike Williams, 2 1stsRashod Bateman, 1 1st
2024-05-05-26%David Njoku, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Cade Otton, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Cade Otton; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -30.6% from the side that received Cade Otton, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Cade Otton for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Cade Otton trade · Every Travis Kelce trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms