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Is Daniel Jones for Geno Smith fair?

Daniel Jones and Geno Smith have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Daniel Jones for Geno Smith, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 9 times it was the Geno Smith side (4 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Daniel Jones as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
4 / 5
One side sweetened: Daniel Jones / Geno Smith

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Daniel Jones prices at 324 and Geno Smith at 59, so the market currently rates Daniel Jones about 5.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Daniel JonesWent with Geno Smith
2026-04-27-124%1 1st
2026-03-07+46%Devin Singletary, Tyler Allgeier, DJ Moore, 13 more, 1 1st, 1 2ndDak Prescott, Khalil Shakir, Brandin Cooks, 14 more
2025-11-19-28%Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMalik Nabers, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-09-16-76%1 later pick
2025-08-08-44%1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-06-29+7%Jalen Milroe, J.K. Dobbins, 1 1stDavante Adams, Tony Pollard
2025-06-21-95%2 3rds
2025-05-03-96%2 3rds
2024-12-10-20%Ray Davis, 1 later pickJerome Ford
2024-10-18-68%Tyrone Tracy, 1 2ndXavier Legette

Read each row as: Daniel Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Geno Smith plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Daniel Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs +3.4% from the side that received Daniel Jones, so the side ending up with Daniel Jones has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Daniel Jones for Geno Smith fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Daniel Jones trade · Every Geno Smith trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms