Derek Carr and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Derek Carr for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.
In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 2 between the Derek Carr side and the Tua Tagovailoa side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
| Date | Margin | Went with Derek Carr | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-10 | +58% | Jalen McMillan, Trevor Lawrence, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Kirk Cousins, Cade Otton |
| 2024-09-29 | -113% | — | — |
| 2024-09-19 | -33% | Zay Flowers, 1 3rd | Cooper Kupp |
| 2024-08-21 | -55% | Adonai Mitchell, Tony Pollard | — |
| 2024-08-11 | +16% | Spencer Rattler, Jamaal Williams, DJ Moore | Malik Washington |
| 2023-10-25 | -20% | Austin Ekeler, Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, 1 2nd | Dalton Schultz, Justin Fields, Bijan Robinson |
| 2023-09-10 | +19% | Jake Bobo, Cooper Kupp, Kyren Williams | Mike White, Rashid Shaheed, Tank Dell |
| 2023-08-09 | -2% | J.K. Dobbins, Treylon Burks, Jordan Addison | JuJu Smith-Schuster, Deebo Samuel, D'Andre Swift |
| 2023-07-25 | +82% | Kendrick Bourne, 1 1st | Marvin Jones, 1 later pick |
| 2023-04-05 | -31% | Jerry Jeudy, James Cook, Kenny Pickett, 1 1st | DJ Moore, Breece Hall |
Read each row as: Derek Carr, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Derek Carr; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.6% from the side that received Derek Carr, so the side ending up with Tua Tagovailoa has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Derek Carr for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Derek Carr trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
All players with real trade data →