Jake Ferguson and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Jake Ferguson for Travis Kelce, nothing else changing hands.
In 1 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 0 to 1 between the Jake Ferguson side and the Travis Kelce side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jake Ferguson prices at 978 and Travis Kelce at 265, so the market currently rates Jake Ferguson about 3.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Jake Ferguson | Went with Travis Kelce |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | +42% | Travis Hunter, 1 2nd | Javonte Williams |
| 2025-11-04 | +57% | Taysom Hill | Keenan Allen |
| 2025-08-16 | -78% | Xavier Legette, Tyrone Tracy, Wan'Dale Robinson, 1 3rd | Christian McCaffrey |
| 2025-05-03 | +80% | Joe Mixon, Jameson Williams | Christian Watson, Tank Dell, Zach Charbonnet, 1 3rd |
| 2024-12-03 | +0% | Tyrone Tracy, 1 1st | Tommy DeVito, Joe Mixon |
| 2024-12-02 | -65% | — | — |
| 2024-11-13 | -30% | Troy Franklin, Kayshon Boutte, 2 1sts | Josh Jacobs, Jonathan Taylor |
| 2024-11-09 | -43% | Ventrell Miller, Tommy Eichenberg, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, 2 more, 1 2nd, 1 later pick | Davante Adams, T.J. Watt |
| 2024-11-01 | +16% | Rashee Rice, Blake Corum, Cade Stover, 1 more | Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, Zamir White, 1 2nd |
| 2024-09-26 | -69% | Will Levis, 1 1st, 2 2nds | Joe Burrow, 2 later picks |
Read each row as: Jake Ferguson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jake Ferguson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -30.4% from the side that received Jake Ferguson, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Jake Ferguson for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Jake Ferguson trade · Every Travis Kelce trade
All players with real trade data →