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Is Jayden Daniels for Justin Herbert fair?

Jayden Daniels and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 28 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Jayden Daniels for Justin Herbert, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Justin Herbert side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jayden Daniels as the more valuable of the two.

28
Deals they were both in
3
Straight up, one for one
0 / 5
One side sweetened: Jayden Daniels / Justin Herbert

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jayden Daniels prices at 4,591 and Justin Herbert at 3,304, so the market currently rates Jayden Daniels about 1.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jayden DanielsWent with Justin Herbert
2026-09-01-1%
2026-09-01-15%TreVeyon Henderson, DJ MooreJadarian Price, Jaylen Waddle, 1 3rd
2026-07-15-24%1 1stTreVeyon Henderson, Nico Collins
2026-05-31-18%Oscar Delp, Kyler Murray, 1 1stTetairoa McMillan, Jordan Mason, Tucker Kraft
2026-03-25+15%Nico Collins1 1st
2026-02-22-14%1 2nd1 1st
2025-11-27-14%Malik Washington, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pickLadd McConkey
2025-11-14-46%Ben Sinnott, Travis Hunter, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pickJa'Marr Chase
2025-11-12-2%Bucky Irving, 1 3rdBreece Hall, 1 3rd
2025-10-05-27%Kyren Williams2 1sts

Read each row as: Jayden Daniels, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jayden Daniels; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 28, the whole-deal value gap runs -16.2% from the side that received Jayden Daniels, so the side ending up with Justin Herbert has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jayden Daniels for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 28 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jayden Daniels trade · Every Justin Herbert trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms