Luke Musgrave and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 0 between the Luke Musgrave side and the Travis Kelce side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Luke Musgrave prices at 3 and Travis Kelce at 284, so the market currently rates Travis Kelce about 94.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Luke Musgrave | Went with Travis Kelce |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-30 | -13% | Dak Prescott, Rachaad White, Sam Darnold, 14 more, 1 2nd | Audric Estime, Jahan Dotson, Zach Wilson, 11 more, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 1 later pick |
| 2025-05-19 | -22% | MarShawn Lloyd, Wan'Dale Robinson, Christian Watson, 1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pick | Keenan Allen, Tyreek Hill, Kareem Hunt, 1 more |
| 2024-11-09 | +96% | Andrei Iosivas, Gabe Davis, Tyjae Spears, 1 1st | Joe Flacco |
| 2024-11-07 | -48% | Michael Penix, Khalil Shakir, 1 2nd | Mike Evans, Sam Darnold |
| 2024-09-27 | -67% | 1 2nd | 1 3rd |
| 2024-08-27 | -143% | Yaya Diaby, Rashid Shaheed, 1 2nd | Rashee Rice, Kimani Vidal, Gus Edwards, 1 3rd |
| 2024-08-17 | +26% | Jordan Travis, Brandon Aiyuk, DeMario Douglas | Bo Nix, Chris Godwin |
| 2024-07-26 | -12% | DeVonta Smith, Will Levis, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Geno Smith, A.J. Brown, D'Andre Swift |
| 2024-06-29 | -57% | Aaron Rodgers, 1 2nd | Aaron Jones |
| 2024-06-21 | -96% | 1 1st, 1 2nd | — |
Read each row as: Luke Musgrave, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Luke Musgrave; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -28.4% from the side that received Luke Musgrave, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Luke Musgrave for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Luke Musgrave trade · Every Travis Kelce trade
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