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Is Mac Jones for Tua Tagovailoa fair?

Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 9 times it was the Mac Jones side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tua Tagovailoa as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
6 / 3
One side sweetened: Mac Jones / Tua Tagovailoa

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Mac Jones prices at 51 and Tua Tagovailoa at 59, so the market currently rates Tua Tagovailoa about 1.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Mac JonesWent with Tua Tagovailoa
2026-09-07-47%Jordyn Tyson, 1 1st, 1 2ndAshton Jeanty, Wan'Dale Robinson
2026-06-12+42%2 1sts, 2 2ndsEmeka Egbuka, Tyjae Spears, 1 3rd
2026-05-04-152%1 3rd
2025-10-23-180%Gunnar Helm, 1 3rd
2025-10-13+15%Marvin Harrison, Woody Marks, Travis Hunter, 3 more, 1 1stChris Godwin, Mark Andrews, Cole Kmet, 3 more, 1 1st
2025-10-12-165%Rasheen Ali, Gunnar Helm, LeQuint Allen, 1 more, 4 later picks
2025-01-20+10%Trevor LawrenceMason Rudolph, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-04-30+23%1 1st, 1 2nd
2023-10-25-34%Geno Smith, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2023-09-17-50%Zack Moss, Deon Jackson, 1 1stCam Akers

Read each row as: Mac Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Mac Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -33.5% from the side that received Mac Jones, so the side ending up with Tua Tagovailoa has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Mac Jones for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Mac Jones trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms