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Is Travis Kelce for Tyler Higbee fair?

Travis Kelce and Tyler Higbee have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Tyler Higbee side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Travis Kelce as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 4
One side sweetened: Travis Kelce / Tyler Higbee

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Travis Kelce prices at 265 and Tyler Higbee at 5, so the market currently rates Travis Kelce about 53.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Travis KelceWent with Tyler Higbee
2025-09-17-58%1 2ndD'Andre Swift
2024-05-04+18%1 1stDallas Goedert, 1 1st
2023-10-04+166%DeAndre Hopkins, Keenan Allen, Adam Thielen, 3 moreAidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, Courtland Sutton, 2 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 3 later picks
2023-10-04+84%Russell Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins, Keenan Allen, 9 moreAidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, JuJu Smith-Schuster, 12 more, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2023-10-04+84%Russell Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins, Keenan Allen, 9 moreAidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, JuJu Smith-Schuster, 12 more, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2023-10-04+156%DeAndre Hopkins, Keenan Allen, Adam Thielen, 4 moreAidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, JuJu Smith-Schuster, 7 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 3 3rds, 2 later picks
2023-08-11+23%Derek Carr, Trey Lance, Rachaad White, 1 more
2023-05-20+149%Trent Sherfield, 1 later pickAllen Lazard, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2023-05-05+51%Davante Adams, Derrick Henry, Dak Prescott, 2 moreRussell Wilson, JuJu Smith-Schuster, DJ Moore, 3 more, 2 2nds, 3 3rds, 1 later pick
2023-03-03-7%Mecole HardmanTaylor Rapp, Travis Etienne

Read each row as: Travis Kelce, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyler Higbee plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Travis Kelce; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs +51.3% from the side that received Travis Kelce, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Travis Kelce for Tyler Higbee fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Travis Kelce trade · Every Tyler Higbee trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms